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Trending ETFs

Name

As of 03/31/2023

Price

Aum/Mkt Cap

YIELD

Annualized forward dividend yield. Multiplies the most recent dividend payout amount by its frequency and divides by the previous close price.

Exp Ratio

Expense ratio is the fund’s total annual operating expenses, including management fees, distribution fees, and other expenses, expressed as a percentage of average net assets.

Watchlist

Probabilities Fund

PROCX | Fund

$8.64

$25.7 M

0.00%

3.18%

Vitals

YTD Return

8.8%

1 yr return

-11.0%

3 Yr Avg Return

0.5%

5 Yr Avg Return

-2.1%

Net Assets

$25.7 M

Holdings in Top 10

75.1%

52 WEEK LOW AND HIGH

$8.6
$7.76
$9.66

Expenses

OPERATING FEES

Expense Ratio 3.18%

SALES FEES

Front Load N/A

Deferred Load N/A

TRADING FEES

Turnover N/A

Redemption Fee N/A


Min Investment

Standard (Taxable)

$2,500

IRA

N/A


Fund Classification

Fund Type

Open End Mutual Fund


Name

As of 03/31/2023

Price

Aum/Mkt Cap

YIELD

Annualized forward dividend yield. Multiplies the most recent dividend payout amount by its frequency and divides by the previous close price.

Exp Ratio

Expense ratio is the fund’s total annual operating expenses, including management fees, distribution fees, and other expenses, expressed as a percentage of average net assets.

Watchlist

Probabilities Fund

PROCX | Fund

$8.64

$25.7 M

0.00%

3.18%

PROCX - Profile

Distributions

  • YTD Total Return 8.8%
  • 3 Yr Annualized Total Return 0.5%
  • 5 Yr Annualized Total Return -2.1%
  • Capital Gain Distribution Frequency Annually
  • Net Income Ratio -2.39%
DIVIDENDS
  • Dividend Yield 0.0%
  • Dividend Distribution Frequency Annually

Fund Details

  • Legal Name
    Probabilities Fund
  • Fund Family Name
    Probabilities Fund
  • Inception Date
    Jan 16, 2014
  • Shares Outstanding
    N/A
  • Share Class
    C
  • Currency
    USD
  • Domiciled Country
    United States
  • Manager
    Joseph Childrey

Fund Description

The Fund utilizes a ’‘fund of funds’’ structure to invest primarily in exchange-traded funds (“ETFs’’), including inverse ETFs and leveraged ETFs. ETFs that seek to track the performance of broad-based U.S. equity indices, principally the Standard & Poor’s 500 (“S&P 500”) as well as mid-cap, small-cap and total market indexes are referred to as “Index ETFs”. The Fund may also invest in ETFs that employ leverage (“Leveraged Index ETFs”) in an effort to deliver, on a daily basis, up to three times the performance of the S&P 500 or ETFs which seek returns which are the inverse of a U.S. equity index, (“Inverse Index ETFs”). In addition, the Fund may hold cash, money market instruments, or other cash equivalents (collectively, “Cash Instruments”).

The Fund’s adviser uses an active trading strategy based on a proprietary, rules-based methodology to determine the Fund’s allocation among Index ETFs, Leveraged Index ETFs, Inverse Index ETFs and Cash Instruments that seeks to take advantage of long-term trends in the market. The Fund typically invests in either ETFs or Cash Instruments depending on the adviser’s assessment of the market. When the adviser believes that conditions are favorable for investment in equities, the Fund will invest in ETFs. During periods that the adviser believes will offer the highest probability of capital appreciation, the Fund will invest primarily in Leveraged ETFs; otherwise, the Fund will invest primarily in Index ETFs. When the adviser believes that market conditions are unfavorable for equities, the Fund will invest in Inverse Index ETFs or Cash Instruments.

The Fund’s investment program will emphasize active management of the Fund’s investments, with an emphasis on capturing profits on short-term movements. This strategy will result in the Fund taking frequent trading positions. Consequently, the Fund’s portfolio turnover and brokerage commission expenses may significantly exceed those of most investment funds of comparable size.

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PROCX - Performance

Return Ranking - Trailing

Period PROCX Return Category Return Low Category Return High Rank in Category (%)
YTD 8.8% -11.7% 17.0% 11.40%
1 Yr -11.0% -27.2% 22.0% 62.30%
3 Yr 0.5%* -19.9% 23.4% 94.19%
5 Yr -2.1%* -13.4% 13.1% 80.25%
10 Yr N/A* -7.3% 11.5% 71.02%

* Annualized

Return Ranking - Calendar

Period PROCX Return Category Return Low Category Return High Rank in Category (%)
2023 -24.7% -54.0% 40.9% 91.35%
2022 0.7% -22.5% 24.1% 67.23%
2021 -3.2% -19.4% 24.1% 87.06%
2020 7.0% -8.4% 12.9% 6.17%
2019 -3.5% -14.0% 7.1% 92.16%

Total Return Ranking - Trailing

Period PROCX Return Category Return Low Category Return High Rank in Category (%)
YTD 8.8% -25.0% 17.0% 11.92%
1 Yr -11.0% -27.2% 22.0% 62.30%
3 Yr 0.5%* -19.9% 23.4% 94.19%
5 Yr -2.1%* -13.2% 14.1% 81.53%
10 Yr N/A* -6.9% 11.5% 83.44%

* Annualized

Total Return Ranking - Calendar

Period PROCX Return Category Return Low Category Return High Rank in Category (%)
2023 -24.7% -54.0% 40.9% 91.35%
2022 0.7% -22.5% 24.1% 66.67%
2021 -3.2% -19.4% 24.1% 87.06%
2020 7.0% -8.4% 12.9% 6.17%
2019 -3.5% -14.0% 15.9% 92.81%

NAV & Total Return History


PROCX - Holdings

Concentration Analysis

PROCX Category Low Category High PROCX % Rank
Net Assets 25.7 M 818 K 5.18 B 79.90%
Number of Holdings 8 3 2670 90.86%
Net Assets in Top 10 21.5 M -175 M 1.1 B 53.23%
Weighting of Top 10 75.08% 1.5% 100.0% 15.92%

Top 10 Holdings

Asset Allocation

Weighting Return Low Return High PROCX % Rank
Stocks
115.38% -2.90% 119.13% 2.67%
Bonds
0.50% -48.31% 152.17% 22.99%
Preferred Stocks
0.00% 0.00% 7.60% 75.14%
Other
0.00% -35.22% 39.56% 76.76%
Convertible Bonds
0.00% -0.02% 4.68% 72.97%
Cash
-15.89% -67.46% 106.99% 97.84%

Stock Sector Breakdown

Weighting Return Low Return High PROCX % Rank
Technology
30.62% 0.00% 43.24% 4.85%
Consumer Cyclical
13.98% 0.00% 88.83% 22.42%
Healthcare
13.32% 0.00% 100.00% 69.09%
Financial Services
11.40% 0.00% 83.83% 63.03%
Communication Services
9.99% 0.00% 32.32% 15.76%
Industrials
8.86% 0.00% 31.93% 61.21%
Consumer Defense
6.30% 0.00% 33.38% 47.88%
Energy
2.28% 0.00% 32.57% 73.33%
Utilities
1.25% 0.00% 21.71% 60.00%
Basic Materials
1.14% 0.00% 28.58% 78.79%
Real Estate
0.86% 0.00% 10.93% 60.61%

Stock Geographic Breakdown

Weighting Return Low Return High PROCX % Rank
US
114.14% -24.26% 116.70% 2.16%
Non US
1.24% -43.01% 97.78% 62.70%

Bond Sector Breakdown

Weighting Return Low Return High PROCX % Rank
Cash & Equivalents
99.20% 0.00% 100.00% 65.76%
Government
0.80% 0.00% 88.51% 22.83%
Derivative
0.00% 0.00% 52.12% 76.63%
Securitized
0.00% 0.00% 13.59% 74.46%
Corporate
0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 77.17%
Municipal
0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 73.91%

Bond Geographic Breakdown

Weighting Return Low Return High PROCX % Rank
US
0.50% -48.31% 63.44% 22.70%
Non US
0.00% -0.33% 22.00% 72.97%

PROCX - Expenses

Operational Fees

PROCX Fees (% of AUM) Category Return Low Category Return High Rank in Category (%)
Expense Ratio 3.18% 0.40% 11.46% 6.15%
Management Fee 1.35% 0.00% 2.50% 71.28%
12b-1 Fee 1.00% 0.00% 1.00% 93.52%
Administrative Fee N/A 0.03% 1.54% 35.63%

Sales Fees

PROCX Fees (% of AUM) Category Return Low Category Return High Rank in Category (%)
Front Load N/A 2.50% 5.75% N/A
Deferred Load N/A 1.00% 4.00% N/A

Trading Fees

PROCX Fees (% of AUM) Category Return Low Category Return High Rank in Category (%)
Max Redemption Fee N/A 0.50% 2.00% N/A

Related Fees

Turnover provides investors a proxy for the trading fees incurred by mutual fund managers who frequently adjust position allocations. Higher turnover means higher trading fees.

PROCX Fees (% of AUM) Category Return Low Category Return High Rank in Category (%)
Turnover N/A 0.00% 479.00% 71.95%

PROCX - Distributions

Dividend Yield Analysis

PROCX Category Low Category High PROCX % Rank
Dividend Yield 0.00% 0.00% 11.11% 79.49%

Dividend Distribution Analysis

PROCX Category Low Category High Category Mod
Dividend Distribution Frequency Annually Annually Monthly Annually

Net Income Ratio Analysis

PROCX Category Low Category High PROCX % Rank
Net Income Ratio -2.39% -3.33% 2.88% 95.81%

Capital Gain Distribution Analysis

PROCX Category Low Category High Capital Mode
Capital Gain Distribution Frequency Annually Annually Annually Annually

Distributions History

View More +

PROCX - Fund Manager Analysis

Managers

Joseph Childrey


Start Date

Tenure

Tenure Rank

Dec 12, 2013

8.47

8.5%

Joseph B. Childrey, Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Probabilities Fund Management, LLC. Mr. Childrey was a consultant for Stone & Youngberg, LLC, a firm specializing in public finance and fixed income investments, from 2005 to 2006; a Senior Vice President for Wells Fargo Investments from 2000 to 2005; a Senior Vice President and Branch Manager for A.G. Edwards & Sons., Inc. from 1990 to 2000; and an Investment Executive with PaineWebber from 1988 to 1990. Mr. Childrey began managing the predecessor fund, an LP, on Jan 2, 2008. He received a Bachelor of Arts degree from Western Maryland College, with a major in sociology.

Tenure Analysis

Category Low Category High Category Average Category Mode
0.07 23.55 5.99 7.93